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PREDICTED FUNDING RATE

4 min · DYOR Education
FreeCOIN · Derivatives
Goal

Understand PREDICTED FUNDING RATE — the forecast rate for the next payout.

PREDICTED FUNDING RATE on BTC/USDT: forecast rate for the next payout
PREDICTED FUNDING RATE on BTC/USDT: forecast rate for the next payout
What it shows

The forecast funding rate for the upcoming settlement, in percent.

  • The exchange recalculates the forecast continuously, based on how far the future has moved from spot.
  • The final rate is fixed at the moment of payout.
  • On Hyperliquid the forecast is the rate of the coming hour. On Deribit — the current 8-hour rate divided by 8. The legend for both says “1h rate”.

The difference from COIN FUNDING RATE: that one shows what has already been charged. PREDICTED shows where it's heading now.

payoutpayoutpayout8-hour period8-hour periodPREDICTED: recalculated continuouslyFUNDING RATE: fixed at payoutalready the next forecastthe forecast is based on the futures–spot gap right now;the rate is what was already charged at the last payout
Watch PREDICTED to know where it's heading. FUNDING RATE is what already happened.
What it's for

Find out where the next payout is heading before it's fixed.

For example.

  • Current rate 0.01%, forecast 0.08%.
  • Over the last few hours the future has moved above spot. If the gap holds until settlement, the next payout will be eight times larger.
Where to find it
Indicators›COIN›Derivatives›PREDICTED FUNDING RATE
Settings
FieldOptionsDefaultWhat it changes
ExchangeChart
Binance
Hyperliquid
Deribit		ChartWhich exchange to take data from: Chart — the same one as the chart.
Derivatives exist on Binance, Hyperliquid and Deribit; Coinbase is spot and is not in the list.
On Hyperliquid and Deribit funding is hourly.
Without a subscription there is no field.
In alerts

Metric PREDICTED FUNDING RATE. Condition fields:

ExchangeMarket TypeCoinTimeframe
Try it yourself
  1. Turn on PREDICTED FUNDING RATE and COIN FUNDING RATE side by side.
  2. Find a payout moment and see how the forecast became the rate.
What you should get. The forecast floats, the rate gets fixed. You saw the handoff.
Takeaway

PREDICTED is the rate the next settlement is heading toward. The exchange recalculates it continuously and fixes it at payout. FUNDING RATE is what has already been charged, PREDICTED is where it's heading now.

Quick check

How is PREDICTED FUNDING RATE different from FUNDING RATE?

Show answer

Correct answer: It's a forecast for the next payout, not a rate that has already been charged

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